Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1870.659347 2042.946896 2219.087226 2412.356094 2618.177176 2830.534903 3065.916202
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1642.648786 1901.063015 2176.594920 2491.136454 2839.134697 3211.250465 3638.098707
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1486.412452 1796.035559 2136.514173 2536.417825 2990.895555 3489.000291 4073.793022
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1341.599785 1683.225038 2069.049289 2533.305301 3072.894793 3676.416668 4398.475923
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1209.545766 1571.156613 1989.634982 2504.273290 3114.468414 3809.231178 4654.173474
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1127.244277 1509.917159 1962.349838 2529.339860 3213.173095 4003.605679 4978.175516
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1043.284813 1439.560369 1917.794872 2527.931905 3275.666102 4152.141728 5246.530921
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 993.748541 1407.852015 1916.737672 2576.187985 3395.599123 4367.673524 5594.525183
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 919.407341 1339.272634 1865.125455 2557.673284 3430.506424 4478.673787 5815.998801
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 886.136519 1321.579853 1875.724149 2615.433316 3558.694879 4702.831799 6175.564281
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 838.431195 1281.519319 1854.801993 2630.719270 3632.033060 4858.942438 6452.322662
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 789.676853 1237.008225 1825.380128 2632.643845 3686.628131 4990.821947 6699.160000
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 709.200495 1145.088294 1730.070844 2546.044895 3626.428400 4979.037473 6768.892370
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 696.130653 1147.477795 1761.546458 2627.656397 3785.189930 5245.682226 7191.284519
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 672.108987 1132.500769 1767.991655 2674.814999 3898.619117 5455.196758 7543.177065
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 633.001806 1093.159704 1738.619195 2671.573973 3944.143285 5576.985536 7783.729415
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 588.202430 1042.743830 1691.260028 2641.341975 3951.735441 5648.410078 7959.158222
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 563.975260 1022.118110 1685.156048 2667.444826 4034.724581 5818.262176 8262.645272
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 533.243456 989.681480 1660.411017 2665.978730 4079.255089 5937.232974 8500.442171
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 519.211147 982.680802 1672.301893 2716.223067 4194.895354 6151.068800 8863.984832
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 487.011453 944.816829 1636.784135 2696.946595 4213.217715 6234.699682 9056.374199
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 477.803705 943.787825 1656.163374 2757.078747 4342.553085 6467.949513 9448.294203
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 457.790930 923.784376 1645.796183 2772.990341 4409.454689 6617.269151 9729.658038